Tuesday, February 27, 2024

Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, March 20, 2023

Must read

Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (36-35) have a chance to secure an upset win when they take the court as just 1.5-point underdogs against Desmond Bane and the Memphis Grizzlies (43-27) on Monday. The over/under for the matchup is 230.5.

Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Odds

  • Grizzlies odds to win: -120
  • Mavericks odds to win: -100
  • Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
  • Total: 230.5

Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • When: Monday, March 20, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee
  • TV: NBA TV, BSSE, and BSSW

Who Will Win Grizzlies vs. Mavericks?

Grizzlies and Mavericks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When they have played as at least 1.5-point favorites this season, the Grizzlies are 26-22-3 against the spread.

The Mavericks have an 11-12 record against the spread when an underdog by 1.5 points or more this year.

The two teams average a combined 0.6 fewer points per game, 229.9, than this game’s over/under of 230.5 points.

Memphis and Dallas have seen its opponents average a combined five fewer points per game than the point total of 230.5 set in this outing.

The average point total for Grizzlies games this year is 2.3 fewer points than the total of 230.5 in this matchup.

The average over/under in Dallas’ games this season is 3.4 fewer points than the point total of 230.5 in this outing.

Memphis’ ATS record is 33-34-3 this season.

The Mavericks have a 26-42-3 record against the spread this year.

Grizzlies Stats & Insights

The Grizzlies’ +273 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.9 points per game) is a result of scoring 116.1 points per game (10th in the NBA) while giving up 112.2 per contest (sixth in the league).

The Grizzlies pull down 46.9 rebounds per game (third in the league) while allowing 44.6 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 2.3 boards per game.

Memphis connects on 11.7 three-pointers per game (17th in the league), 1.2 fewer than its opponents (12.9). It is shooting 34.7% from beyond the arc (23rd in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 35.4%.

The Grizzlies rank 20th in the NBA with 111.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and first in the league defensively with 107.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.

During the 2022-23 campaign, the Grizzlies are scoring 5.7 more points per home game on average than on the road (119 at home, 113.3 on the road), but are allowing 7.7 fewer points per home game compared to road games (108.2 at home, 115.9 on the road).

Mavericks Stats & Insights

The Mavericks put up 113.8 points per game (17th in league) while giving up 113.3 per outing (14th in NBA). They have a +40 scoring differential.

Dallas loses the rebound battle by 5.2 boards on average. It records 38.8 rebounds per game, 30th in the league, while its opponents grab 44.

The Mavericks make 15.1 three-pointers per game (third-most in the league) at a 37.1% rate (ninth-best in NBA), compared to the 11 per game their opponents make, at a 35.1% rate.

The Mavericks score 114.2 points per 100 possessions (seventh in league), while allowing 113.4 points per 100 possessions (19th in NBA).

In 2022-23 Dallas is scoring 2.6 more points per game at home (115.1) than away (112.5).

Grizzlies Key Players to Watch

Bane leads active Grizzlies players in scoring, tallying 21.2 points per game to go with 5.1 rebounds and 4.3 assists.

Jaren Jackson Jr. adds 17.5 points, 0.9 assists and 6.6 rebounds per outing. Tyus Jones puts up 10.3 points, 4.9 assists and 2.4 rebounds per game.

Bane makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Grizzlies, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.8 per contest.

Jones averages one steal per game, while Jackson swats 3.1 shots per contest.

Mavericks Key Players to Watch

Doncic has racked up 33 points, grabbed 8.6 rebounds and handed out eight assists per game so far in 2022-23.

Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three treys per game.

Doncic’s 1.5 steals and Christian Wood’s 1.1 blocks per game are vital to the Mavericks’ defensive production.

Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Grizzlies (- 1.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (230.5)

  • Prediction:
    Grizzlies 117 – Mavericks 110

How to Bet on Grizzlies vs. Mavericks

Get more NBA picks and predictions, the top NBA Player Prop Bets, and game previews as well as view the latest live NBA lines on Betsperts.
If you are new to sports betting, read our in-depth guide on how to bet on basketball as well as find the best NBA betting sites.

Latest article